Sports Gambling Betting Systems
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Many mathematicians have tried and failed to create the perfect betting strategy. Each betting system has its shortcomings no matter how badly someone tries to convince you that their strategy is guaranteed.
But does this mean that all betting strategies are total junk?
No, some strategies do have merit and provide short or even long-term results. The only catch is figuring out which betting systems are worth using.
Let’s discuss 10 wagering strategies that work. Some of these systems only work on specific games like baccarat or roulette, while others can apply to any casino game.
1. Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
A common scenario for casual gamblers is to walk into the casino with around $200 dollars and make bets between $10 and $25.

This seems harmless in theory, if you’re gambling with expendable income. But the problem is that you’re very likely to run out of money this way.
One good idea that comes from sports betting is only risking 2% or less of your bankroll on any given wager.
Professional and serious amateur sports bettors do this to minimize their short-term risk. But you can really apply this system to any casino game.
Here’s an example:- Your bankroll is $2,000.
- 2% of your bankroll is $40.
- You can place bets worth $40 or lower.
Pros of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
The biggest benefit to wagering 2% or less of your bankroll is that it keeps you in the game. You’re not risking chunks worth 5. 20% of your bankroll like most players.
This is helpful in any casino game from blackjack to Caribbean stud poker. But it’s especially useful in skill-based games like daily fantasy sports (DFS), poker, and sports betting.
The reason why is because skill-based games are prone to more streakiness than house-banked games. In these games, it’s common to experience long dry streaks that make you question if they’ll ever end.
The best way to get through them is by risking small amounts of your bankroll on each wager. Furthermore, you’ll dramatically lower your risk of ruin.
Cons of Betting 2% or Less of Your Bankroll
The first problem with this system is that most players don’t have a large enough bankroll to only wager 2% or less per bet. Under this system, you’ll need at least $1,000 in just to make a $20 wager (2%).
Professionals can afford to be disciplined like this because they have large bankrolls. But if you’re just a casual blackjack or craps player, you probably don’t walk into the casino with thousands of dollars.
Another downside is that some players find that this system doesn’t offer enough action. These same players may like varying their wagers from big to small depending upon how lucky they feel.
But, as long as you have a large enough bankroll, this system is definitely worth using.
2. The Martingale
The Martingale betting strategy has two things going for it:
- It’s easy.
- This system will theoretically provide a profit every time.
The Martingale calls on you to double bets after every loss. The goal is to always win back your losses and earn a small profit in the process.
You should also make even-money bets with the Martingale in order to simplify things and minimize your risk.
Here’s an example:- You bet $10 and win (+10).
- You bet $10 and lose (0).
- You bet $20 and lose (- 20).
- You bet $40 and lose (- 60).
- You bet $80 and lose (- 140).
- You bet $160 and lose (- 300).
- You bet $320 and win (+20).
- Next bet returns to $10.
Pros of the Martingale
The Martingale’s best aspects include its ease of use and how it can theoretically be successful.
As long as you have the funds to continue doubling bets after losses, you’ll eventually win back your money. You’ll also book small profits along the way every time you win.
The Martingale is one of the best systems for those looking for consistent short-term profits.
Cons of the Martingale
The Martingale’s downside is that it’s an extremely risky strategy. You’ll be betting far more than your original wager after 5 to 6 losing wagers.
This can make you hesitant to pull the trigger on the next double bet. Even worse is that your bankroll will vanish if the losing streak continues.
Another problem is that casinos impose table limits to prevent wealthy gamblers from the using the Martingale to the fullest. Otherwise, Mark Zuckerberg ($56 billion net worth) would always win with the Martingale because his bankroll would likely never run out.
You’ll eventually run into a losing streak that’s long enough to hit the table limit. In this case, you take a big loss because you can no longer double wagers to win everything back.
3. The Martingale in Skill-Based Games
We just covered how the Martingale is a very risky betting strategy. What’s more is that this system doesn’t do anything to alter the house edge.
But what if you could combine the Martingale’s effectiveness with skill?
This betting strategy can be profitable in skill based games like DFS and sports betting. Not only can you win back your losses with the Martingale, but you can also swing the odds in your favor with enough skill.
Here’s an example of how this works in DFS:
- You lose a $10 + $1 (fee) head to head contest (- 11).
- You lose a $20 + $2 head to head contest (- 33).
- You lose a $40 + $4 head to head contest (- 77).
- You win an $80 + $8 head to head contest (- 5).
- You win a $10 + $1 head to head contest (+5).
Sports Gambling Betting Systems Definition
The tough thing about DFS contests is that you have to pay an extra 10% entry fee to the sites. But as the above example shows, the Martingale strategy can still help you book a profit even if you lose the majority of contests.
Let’s look at one more example involving sports betting:
- You lose an $11 bet (- 11).
- You lose a $22 bet (- 22).
- You lose a $44 bet (- 77).
- You lose an $88 bet (- 165).
- You win a $176 bet and earn a $160 profit (- 5).
- You win an $11 bet and earn a $10 profit (+5),
The drawback to sports betting is that the house takes 10% juice from the losing side. But the Martingale can still help you be profitable when you string together two or more wins.
Pros of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games
The great thing about using this system in skill-based contests is that you can overcome short-term variance by consistently winning back losses.
The sports betting example above shows how you can earn back your losses plus a small profit even after several losing wagers.
Another advantage is that you’re not just using the Martingale in a casino game with a house edge. Instead, you’re playing skill based games.
The end result is that you get the enviable combination of getting your losses back and having a chance to win long-term profits.
Cons of Using the Martingale in Skill-Based Games
You’re taking a risk on three fronts with this betting strategy:
- You might be at a skill disadvantage to opponents/other bettors.
- You’re still dealing with the Martingale risks.
- You must pay 10% fees (DFS) or 10% juice on losses (sports betting).
The first point is key because you could be facing an even worse proposition than house-banked casino games if you’re not better than opponents.
Add in the standard Martingale risks along with sportsbook/DFS fees, and non-skilled bettors are looking at a potential bankroll disaster.
4. Betting on Baccarat’s Banker Hand
Baccarat gives you three different betting options, including the banker hand, player hand, and tie bet. And the top system for playing baccarat involves making the banker bet every time.
The reason why is because the banker hand only has a 1.06% house edge. Compare this to the player hand and tie wager, which have 1.24% and 14.36% house edges, respectively.
Given that all you need to do is bet on the banker hand every time, baccarat is great for casual players who don’t want to deal with in-depth strategy.
Pros of Betting on the Banker Hand
The banker hand wager is one of the best in gaming. Only a handful of casino games offer a lower house edge than 1.06%.
The other advantage to wagering on the banker hand is that you don’t have to study strategy. Instead, you simply need to make the same bet every time.
Cons of Betting on the Banker Hand
The banker hand’s 1.06% house edge isn’t as harmless as it seems.
Mini baccarat games see anywhere from 120. 200 hands dealt per hour. This is 2. 3 times the hand rate that you’ll see in blackjack games and this exposes you more to the house edge.
Let’s look at the theoretical losses that you’d be facing in a fast-dealt baccarat game:
- You’re making $10 bets on the banker
- The table is seeing 200 hands per hour.
- This adds up to $2,000 in total hourly bets.
- We take 2,000 x 0.0106.
- Your theoretical losses are $21.20 per hour.
5. Value Betting
Value betting is the process of getting maximum value out of situations where you have a long-term advantage. This term is most often used in poker, but it can also describe how blackjack card counters operate.
Value betting requires being able to spot and take advantage of favorable situations.
One example is when a poker player believes they have the best hand and bets in a way that extracts maximum value from their opponent. Going further, their wagers need to be large enough to get the most value from the opposing player, yet small enough that the opponent won’t fold.
Another example involves how card counters keep track of the deck until the count swings in their favor. They then make larger bets to maximize situations where the deck is rich in 10s and aces.
Pros of Value Betting
Anybody who wants to make long-term profits through gambling can benefit from value betting. This is how poker pros and card counters earn their living.
In poker’s case, being good at value betting can separate you from opponents. Getting the most value out of your great hands will improve your profits in the long run.
Cons of Value Betting
The problem with this betting strategy is that it calls on you to have the following qualities:
- Being good at math.
- Being skilled in the game you’re playing.
- Being able to walk a fine line with betting.
Wagering too little prevents you from capitalizing on your best poker hands. Wagering too much pushes your opponents out of hands and keeps you from making money on future streets.
For card counters, betting too high in favorable situations can attract the casino’s attention. In turn, they’ll find out that you’re a card counter and ban you for life.
6. Taking Craps Odds
The best regular bets in craps include pass line, don’t pass line, come, and don’t come. But there’s another craps wager that’s even better than these called odds.
Craps odds is the best bet in the casino because it doesn’t have a house edge. Instead, you’re paid at your true odds of winning. And one of the top betting strategies that you can use includes continually backing regular bets with odds.
To place an odds wager, you need to first make a pass line or don’t pass line bet after a point has been established. You should also inform the dealer that you’re making an odds bet.
Here are the payouts for when you back a pass line bet with odds (a.k.a. taking odds):
- 2 to 1 on point numbers of 4 and 10.
- 3 to 2 on points of 5 and 9.
- 6 to 5 on points of 6 and 8.
Here are payouts for when you back a don’t pass line wager with odds (a.k.a. laying odds):
- 1 to 2 for points of 4 and 10.
- 2 to 3 for points of 5 and 9.
- 5 to 6 for points of 6 and 8.
Pros of Taking Craps Odds
Odds is the only bet where the casino doesn’t have a house edge. And what’s great is that you can reduce the house advantage to almost nothing by taking higher odds.
Here’s a look at how far the house edge is reduced based on the odds you take:
| Odds | Pass Line/Come | Don’t Pass Line/Don’t Come |
|---|---|---|
| 0x | 1.41% house edge | 1.36% house edge |
| 1x | 0.848% | 0.682% |
| 2x | 0.606% | 0.455% |
| Full Double Odds | 0.572% | 0.431% |
| 3x | 0.471% | 0.341% |
| 3x 4x 5x | 0.374% | 0.273% |
| 5x | 0.326% | 0.227% |
| 10x | 0.184% | 0.124% |
| 20x | 0.099% | 0.065% |
| 100x | 0.021% | 0.014% |
Cons of Taking Craps Odds
Casinos cap the size of odds because they don’t make long term profits off these wagers. The highest most casinos go is 5x odds, while others don’t even allow this amount.
A few Las Vegas casinos offer anywhere from 10x to 100x odds. And this seems like a dream based on how higher odds reduce the house edge further.
But the problem is that most players don’t have the bankroll to continue taking the highest odds available. If you put $10 on pass line and take 20x odds, you need an additional $200.
The average gambler doesn’t have this kind of money for a single bet, even if there’s no house edge involved.
7. The Labouchere
The Labouchere (a.k.a. cancellation system) is a negative progression betting strategy like the Martingale. The main difference, though, is that it’s less risky.
You start this system by creating a unit size. And the simplest way to do this is by choosing the table’s minimum bet.
The next step involves deciding how many units you want to win during your session. After deciding this, you create a string of numbers that adds up to your desired unit win.
You then add the first and last number in the sequence to determine your bet.
You cross off both of these numbers after a win. And you add the combined number to the end of your string after a loss.
Here’s an example of the Labouchere in action:
- You want to win 18 units.
- Your number string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 3.
- Your first bet is 6 units (3 + 3).
- You win and your new string is: 4, 5, 3.
- Your next bet is 7 units (4 + 3).
- You lose and your new string is: 4, 5, 3, 7.
Pros of the Labouchere
One good thing about the Labouchere is that it gives you more freedom than most betting systems. You decide your unit size, desired profit, and how to achieve this profit.
Another good aspect to the cancellation system is that it’s not as risky as systems like the Martingale. Rather than doubling your bet following every loss to win back losses, you’re merely wagering a certain amount of units.
Cons of the Labouchere
The biggest problem with this system is that you’re forced to make a series of big bets during a losing streak. Let’s look at how this works by going back to the number sequence in the first example:
- Your number sequence is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4.
- Your first bet is 7 units.
- You lose and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7.
- You lose a 10-unit bet and your new string is: 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 7, 10.
This isn’t as bad as doubling your bets after every loss. But most players won’t feel comfortable wagering between 7 and 10 units for several bets in a row.
8. Making Even-Money Bets in French Roulette
Roulette offers three main variations, which are American roulette, European roulette, and French roulette. The best version is French roulette because it only has a 1.35% house edge.
French roulette is played on a European wheel (37 numbers). But the difference between European and French roulette is that the latter has the la partage rule.
La partage pays half your bet back on losing even-money wagers that land on zero. This effectively cuts the European roulette house edge (2.70%) in half as long as you stick with even-money bets.
Pros of Even-Money French Roulette Bets
The best aspects to making even-money bets with French roulette include the low house edge and excellent probability of winning.
As for the latter, you have a 48.64% chance of winning red/black, odd/even, and high/low. This is even better than your chances of winning a blackjack hand (42.22%) or baccarat hand (45.85%) when ties are accounted for.
The high probability of winning and the low house edge combine to create low volatility. And this is perfect for players with small bankrolls who want to last in casino games.
Cons of Even-Money French Roulette Bets
The biggest problem is that you can’t find French roulette in most land-based or online casinos.
France, Germany, and Monte Carlo offer a fair number of French roulette games. But the game is sparsely found in most other countries.
Any online casino with Microgaming or Realtime Gaming software will offer French roulette. Cryptologic (NYX Gaming) also has a European roulette variation that’s actually French roulette.
But beyond this, you’ll have a hard time even finding French roulette online.
9. Oscar’s Grind
Oscar’s Grind is another negative progression strategy in the same vein as the Martingale or Labouchere. But this one is more complicated.
You start off by betting 1 unit. And you keep your unit size the same when you’re in a winning or losing streak.
You increase your bet by 1 unit whenever you win following a loss. The bet size stays at this level until you lose, then win again.
The overall theme is to chase losses following losing streaks. Here’s an example to illustrate Oscar’s Grind:
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 1)
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 2)
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 3)
- You bet 1 unit and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 4)
- You bet 1 unit and win – Next bet becomes 2 units (bankroll at. 3)
- You bet 2 units and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 5)
- You bet 2 units and lose – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 7)
- You bet 2 units and win – Next bet becomes 3 units (bankroll at. 5)
- You bet 3 units and win – Bet stays the same (bankroll at. 2).
- You bet 3 units and win – Next bet becomes 1 unit (bankroll at +1).
Once you book a profit following a losing streak, you start the process over again.
Pros of Oscar’s Grind
The good thing about Oscar’s Grind is that it allows you to chase losses without going overboard. You’re only increasing bets by 1 unit following a losing streak, which is less risky than both the Labouchere and Martingale.
The other benefit is that Oscar’s Grind is less likely to reach the table betting limit than the other two systems. This minimizes the problem of running into the table limit during a lengthy losing streak.
Cons of Oscar’s Grind
The first downside to Oscar’s Grind is that it’s more confusing than both the Labouchere and Martingale.
Examples help with learning Oscar’s Grind. But it’s not the easiest to start with if you’re new to betting strategies.
The other problem is that this system is also subject to risk and table limits if you use it over a long time period. The risk is minimized with Oscar’s Grind, but there’s still a small chance that you’ll run into a table limit.
10. No. 12 Seed vs. No. 5 Seed in March Madness
One of the worst kept secrets about March Madness betting is that No. 12 seeds are a good bet to beat No. 5 seeds.
The four No. 12 seeds in the NCAA Tournament usually face long odds to beat the No. 5 seeds. But they also have a high success rate when considering the disparity in rankings.
At least one No. 12 seed has beaten a No. 5 seed in the first round in 16 of the past 17 NCAA Tournaments. Over the past five years (2013 to 17), nine No. 12 seeds have triumphed in the first round.
Sports Gambling Betting Systems Ratings
Pros of Betting on No. 12 Seeds
You can win quite frequently by betting on No. 12 seeds to beat the spread.
In the last nine March Madness events, No. 12 seeds have gone 23-12-1 against the spreads (ATS). This includes an impressive 11–4–1 ATS over the past five seasons.
These low seeded teams can also earn you big profits through straight up bets. No. 12 seeds have a decent chance of winning versus the long odds they carry.
Cons of Betting on No. 12 Seeds
The problem with betting on No. 12 seeds is that they lose a majority of the time.
This isn’t to say that you shouldn’t still bet on No. 12 seeds, because they’ve been profitable over a long time period. But you still need the handicapping skills to determine which No. 12 seeds have a chance of winning, or at least covering the spread.
One more drawback is that you only have four chances to make these bets every year. This leaves you with a very limited opportunity to take advantage of No. 12 seed bets.
Conclusion
Betting strategies should never be viewed as a way to make guaranteed profits and replace your day job. But some of them can be highly effective over the short run and spice up your gambling sessions.
The most reasonable strategies include betting less than 2% of your bankroll, wagering on the banker hand, taking craps odds, and making even-money bets in French roulette. These help you pull in consistent wins and limit the risk factor.
Riskier systems include the Martingale, Labouchere, and Oscar’s Grind. The latter is the safest of these betting systems because you don’t increase your bet as much following losses.
You can also make long-term profits with betting strategies if you’re skilled enough. These strategies include value betting, using the Martingale in skill based games, and wagering on No. 12 seeds in March Madness.
As you can see, there are a variety of working systems that cater to different interests. And wagering strategies can also make gambling more exciting.
“I’ve got a system to beat the books on (insert any sport).” We’ve all probably heard a friend say this or overheard someone talking about their fool-proof system in a bar or sportsbook. What were they talking about? Do they actually have a way to beat the sportsbook? What’s a sports betting system?
All of these are great questions that we’re going to dive into today. In this guide, we’re going to walk you through the basics of what a sports betting system is, why you might want to look into using one, and how you can go about developing your own system. Whether you’ve never heard of sports betting systems before or you’re looking to expand your existing base of knowledge, we’ve got you covered.
The Basics of a Sports Betting System – What Is It?
A sports betting system is a collection of repeated practices or rules that a sports bettor will do or use in order to make winning sports betting picks. That was a mouthful. Let’s look at a few simplified examples to make this clearer.
If you decide that you are going to bet all NFL home underdogs when the spread is greater than 7 points, you’re using a sports betting system. If you decide that you’re going to bet all state champion wrestlers during their UFC debut, you’re using a sports betting system. If you choose to bet any NFL home team that is favored by three to seven points and is coming off of two straight road wins against opponents that have a home record above .500 only if their opponent has a losing road record on the season, you are using a sports betting system.
Basically, any set of parameters that you come up with that helps you to pick winners is a sports betting system. The system can be simple like the first two examples, or it can be much more complex like the third example we gave. Believe it or not, sports betting systems can get even more complex than this by using a lot of complex formulas and math to try and calculate value and winners.
Sports betting systems can be made up of as many or as few parameters as the creator sees fit. Additionally, there is no limit to what these parameters can be. They can include things like past wins/losses, team stats, matchup statistics, weather conditions, playoff implications, individual player stats, game location, or literally anything that the creator deems as having an effect on the outcome of the game.
Sports betting systems can be a check-off system or a mathematical formula that produces a desired line.
Additionally, the amount that a bettor bets on a game could also be dependent on their system. If the game comes in as a big opportunity, the system might call for a bigger bet, whereas a lesser opportunity might call for a smaller bet.
Origin and Creation – Where Do Sports Betting Systems Come From?
The next logical question to ask is where these sports betting systems come from. Well, they are created either by professional sports bettors or by sports bettors like yourself. You’re not going to find these systems posted online somewhere. Why? Well, the value of the system goes away if everyone is jumping on the bandwagon every time there is an opportunity. All of the lines will instantly correct, and the opportunity will go away.
For this reason, anyone who comes up with a winning system will usually keep that system to themselves. Sometimes they will sell their picks (or give them away for free on rare occasions), but they will never let you see their system. Think of it like KFC. They are happy to sell you their chicken, but they aren’t going to give you access to the Colonel’s secret recipe.
As you might guess, coming up with a winning system is not easy. If it were easy, there would be no value in sports betting because everyone would be crushing the books until all the good opportunities dried up. It would be near impossible to get your hands on any value unless you were the quickest bettor in the land. The sportsbooks would also put out perfect lines because their system would be flawless.
You’ll get a much better idea of how they are created when we talk about building your own sports betting system in the section below.
The Benefits of a Sports Betting System – Why Use Them?
Before we talk about how to build your own sports betting system, you probably want to know why you would invest your time into creating one. Is it right for you? Is there a strong enough benefit there to make it worth your while? To answer these questions and more, let’s take a look at some of the benefits of using a sports betting system to make your picks and bets.
Find a Winner, and You’ll Print Money
If you’re good enough to develop a winning sports betting strategy, you’re going to have a money printer. The point of a sports betting system is that it has checks and balances that make it profitable under any condition. This means that once you are able to develop a winning strategy, you can start pressing your bets and winning big.
This should be the first and the last benefit on this list. When you develop a winning sports betting strategy, you have a sure-fire way to continually make money betting on sports. Isn’t that everyone’s end goal?
Removes Emotion from the Equation
When your system has parameters rooted in statistics, it makes it hard for emotion to come into play. The only way that emotion can creep in is if you are undisciplined and refuse to stick to your system. If you’ve got self-discipline problems, though, you probably shouldn’t be anywhere near a sportsbook until you get that under control.
One of the biggest reasons that new and even experienced sports bettors fall is that they let the media, others’ emotional opinions, and their own emotional responses creep in and mess up their judgment. When you have a sports betting system that you are confident in, this doesn’t happen.
Forces Immersion into Stats
As you’ll see in the coming section, sports betting systems are heavily reliant on statistics. Instead of using your gut to make picks, you’re using a system that has hard and fast parameters in place. In order to create that system, it will force you to dig into the stats of the sports you are looking to bet.
This will inevitably make you a much more educated sports bettor. It will help you to find trends, patterns, and other factors that you might not be aware of. Employ these findings in your betting system, and you’re going to have a lot more success. You see, “feel” bettors have a tendency to avoid taking the time to look at stats. Whether this is out of ignorance of their availability, arrogance, or laziness, we don’t know. Regardless of the cause, it’s not a smart way to place a sports bet.
The more informed and knowledgeable you are about the sport you are betting, the better picks you’re going to make, and the better your sports betting system will be. Even if you don’t develop a system, just the act of trying to create one will make you a much higher-level sports bettor, which will most likely reflect in your results.
Gives Structure to Your Betting
Ever feel completely lost when you’re sports betting? Ever feel like you’re just throwing darts at the wall, or you’re just not sure where to start every week? Sports betting systems help to alleviate this problem by giving your betting structure. When you have a winning system or at least a system that you are testing, you have a jumping-off point every week. You know exactly what sport to start with, which games to look at, and what you’re looking for.
Even if you aren’t leaning heavily on your sports betting system, it still gets you into the stats and helps you to get your week of research started properly. Structure is not necessary to win at sports betting, but it’s something that the most successful bettors have in common.
Developing Your Own Sports Betting System – How Do I Get Involved?
Now that we’ve covered what a sports betting system is, where they come from, and the benefits of developing one, we want to talk about some functional steps that you can take to start developing your own sports betting system. As we’ve mentioned, sports betting systems come in all shapes and sizes, and the data points that you choose to use could be anything and everything.
For that reason, the tips and steps below will be somewhat general but should help to push you in the right direction. Ultimately, it’s going to be up to you to dig through the stats and look for the important factors and trends that you think are important to picking winners.
Decide What Sport You Want to Bet On
The logical first step to developing an effective sports betting system is deciding which sport you want to bet on. We recommend that when you’re first getting started, you stick to one sport unless you have a lot of time to dedicate to this process. Doing this the right way will require time and effort, and you don’t want to be spreading yourself too thin by jumping on multiple sports.
We recommend choosing the sport you have the most knowledge in. While this might seem like common sense, you’d be surprised at how many people choose the sport they want to be good in or whatever sport happens to be in season. If you’re just looking for entertainment, choose any sport you want. If you’re looking for profit, start with the sport you are the best at. Once you are sufficiently crushing it there, you can look to expand your horizons if you choose to do so at that time.
Begin Researching Stats and Factors You Think Are Important
Your first and last stop when creating your sports betting system should be statistics. Start by making a list of things that you think are important when selecting the winner of a game. You can even start assessing how important you think that each of these stats is. In our Understanding Sports Betting Value article (which you NEED to read if you’re building a mathematical sports betting system), you’ll see that you can even assign percentages of importance to each factor that you come up with. You can then mathematically deduce a team’s likelihood of winning a game. Seriously, please read that guide from start to finish with extra emphasis on the “Calculating Predicted Actual Probabilities” section. You will not be disappointed.
When selecting stats to use, you need to make sure of a few things.
Also, think outside the box. Look for statistics that you think are important regardless of what other people might think. Don’t try and force something, but it’s okay to expand your horizons and dig deep for stats that build a winning system.
Create a Checklist or a Formula
As you start to find the important criteria, you’ll want to start plugging them into a checklist or a formula. If it’s a checklist, you’ll want to focus on which criteria work together and which do not. You may find that you come up with a few different checklists that you want to try. If this is the case, that’s okay. When we talk about testing and tracking, you’ll be able to flush out which ones work and which ones do not.
If you’re building a mathematical formula, begin assigning the importance of each (covered in the article referenced in the section above). It’s okay if you are not sure on a percentage and want to make a few different formulas to test. Again, we will talk about how to deal with this during the testing phase below.
Find Games That Meet Your Criteria and Start Testing
Once you have your preliminary checklist(s) and formula(s) ready to go, it’s time to find games that register as winners and begin seeing if your system is any good. Now, there are two ways that you can go about this. Neither is right or wrong; they just depend on your personal preference.
You can create a spreadsheet and track your “bets” without actually making bets. This is a great idea if you are able to differentiate between a bet you would really make and a bet that you might not actually pull the trigger on. Basically, it’s a lot easier to write in a spreadsheet that you would make a bet when you don’t really have to make it.
Utilizing the spreadsheet method ensures that you won’t lose any money if your system is not a winner. It also allows you to test out multiple systems at once without risking a lot of money. The drawback is that if your system is a winner, you won’t have made any money off of it. We’ve also heard from a lot of people that love to sports bet that it’s just not as fun, either. While this is about making a profit and not about fun, we are human, and we get this.
This is why we like to offer up the second method of testing that you can try. You can bet your system with very small bets. This will force you to see if you have any issues with following your system when money is on the line, give you a chance to make money if your system is good, and give you some entertainment value to keep you from going crazy.
If you have multiple systems but still want some action, we recommend a hybrid of the two. Pick a system that is your main system and make the small bets on that system. With your other systems, just “make your bets” on your spreadsheet and track and test them that way.
Track Your Results Closely
The most important step of this process is tracking your results. Yes, you need to be tracking which bets you win and which you lose, but you also need to be tracking a lot more. You need to be tracking how the games go and what aspects of your formula might need to be changed. This can be tricky, but it’s the most important step of the process.
If your system is not working, you need to be able to identify why and what needs to be changed. Even if your system is winning, you’re going to want to track what is working and what isn’t to try and make your system better. Constantly building on your system until it is perfect is the name of the game.
Due to the fact that you can’t figure out the validity of your system overnight, you’ll want to take heed of the advice we gave you in our last step. Don’t blow your whole bankroll on a system that hasn’t been proven yet. That doesn’t mean you can’t have a little fun, though.
Tweak Your System and Continue Developing
As we alluded to in the prior tip, you’re going to want to take your results and use them to continue developing your sports betting system. Don’t expect to come right out of the gates with a winner. If you do, awesome! But being realistic, it’s going to take quite a bit of time and effort to get to a winning sports betting system.
Constantly evaluate each statistical data point that you’re using and make sure that it’s working for you and not hurting your system. If you find things that aren’t working, toss them out and either replace them with a more fitting data point or leave them out completely. There’s really no reason to completely scrap your system and start over unless it’s all a mess. Small changes and tweaks are the name of the game here.
Also, make sure that you’re patient with tracking your results and making changes. Just as it’s not smart to draw initial conclusions without a decent sample size, the same is true when you make changes. Just because you’ve tested your initial system on 100 games doesn’t mean you get to say your sample size is 101 games on the next game after some changes. When you make changes to your system, your sample size resets.
Press When you Find a Winning System
When you finally do stumble on a winning sports betting system, it’s time to scream hallelujah and start making some money! Stick to your system and start hammering the books. Remember, even the best of sports betting systems will have ups and downs, so make sure you’re practicing good bankroll management.
Additionally, make sure that you’re still tracking your results. Your work is not done once you find a winning system. You need to continue making sure that the system is a winner and keep looking for ways to improve it.
Keep up, or you risk seeing your moneymaker going away.
The Wrap-Up
Sports Gambling Betting Systems Reviews
Sports betting systems are a great way to add structure to your sports betting and provide a fantastic, emotion-free way of crushing the books. Developing your own system definitely has its benefits, but it will require a lot of hard work, research, and some expertise. If you’re ready to take your sports betting to the next level, look into developing a sports betting system.